Luzern vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
LAU
3 - 3
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 0
SIO
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
2 - 1
MTK
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
YOB
3 - 0
FCL
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 1
FCL
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
YOB
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 1
GCZ
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 0
NEX
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |