Europa Conference League qualifiers Third Round Final

Global 3-5

Luzern vs Hibernian FC analysis

Luzern Hibernian FC
80 ELO 77
2.7% Tilt 8.1%
292º General ELO ranking 488º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.7%
Luzern
23%
Draw
23.3%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
Luzern
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Luzern
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2023
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
28%
24%
48%
80 85 5 0
10 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
41%
25%
35%
80 76 4 0
06 Aug. 2023
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
50%
23%
27%
80 81 1 0
03 Aug. 2023
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Djurgårdens IF
DJU
41%
26%
33%
80 82 2 0
30 Jul. 2023
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
61%
22%
17%
80 70 10 0

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2023
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
37%
26%
37%
77 73 4 0
10 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
41%
25%
35%
76 80 4 +1
06 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
59%
23%
18%
76 70 6 0
03 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
6 - 1
Inter Escaldes
INT
45%
24%
31%
75 74 1 +1
29 Jul. 2023
BPO
Blackpool
3 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
35%
24%
41%
75 68 7 0