Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FCL
3 - 1
FCV
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 3
ZUR
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCA
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |