Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 5
FCL
11%
17%
73%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
YOB
6 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 2
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FCA
5 - 0
THU
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
KRI
1 - 0
FCA
35%
24%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 3
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |