Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FCL
4 - 1
DEL
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FCL
4 - 1
WIN
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
3 - 2
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
DEL
0 - 0
FCL
64%
19%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 1
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
THU
0 - 1
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 3
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |