Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 2
YOB
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FCV
0 - 2
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 2
SIO
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |