Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 0
STG
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCL
29%
25%
47%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCV
69%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 4
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 3
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
61%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |