Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 0
GCZ
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 0
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 2
BAS
11%
19%
69%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 2
LAU
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 4
EGY
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |