Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCL
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 3
FCL
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |