Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 2
FCL
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
FCL
0 - 0
SER
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 0
LAU
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
84%
11%
6%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 2
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1998 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
LUG
5 - 1
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |