Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 1
FCL
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
FCL
3 - 2
GCZ
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
SER
3 - 5
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
17%
22%
60%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 4
NEX
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
STG
3 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
BAS
4 - 1
KRI
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
SIO
2 - 2
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |