Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1980 |
SER
6 - 0
FCL
77%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1980 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1980 |
SIO
4 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1980 |
FCL
0 - 1
GCZ
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
76%
13%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1980 |
BAS
3 - 2
SIO
74%
15%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1980 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZUR
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1980 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |