Luzern II vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SOL
0 - 0
LUZ
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
DOR
58%
21%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ZOF
0 - 1
LUZ
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BLA
0 - 0
LUZ
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
FCK
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MUT
0 - 3
FCK
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
5 - 1
MUT
48%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MUT
2 - 0
GRA
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCG
0 - 3
MUT
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
MUT
0 - 2
SEN
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |