Luzern II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NEX
2 - 1
LUZ
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 2
LUZ
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WAN
1 - 1
LUZ
33%
24%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUZ
2 - 0
MUN
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
3 - 2
LUZ
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
5 - 1
WAN
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 0
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
FCS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
2 - 4
SCH
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAD
5 - 1
FCS
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |