Lutlommel vs Moelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VLI
1 - 2
LUT
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUT
2 - 0
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ZON
2 - 2
LUT
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LUT
3 - 1
KVT
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EEN
1 - 2
LUT
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Moelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MOE
2 - 0
THA
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VLI
1 - 2
MOE
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOE
1 - 2
HIH
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
MOE
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOE
3 - 0
APO
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +4 |