Lusitanos vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
INT
0 - 2
LUS
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
SCO
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
UEE
1 - 3
LUS
28%
24%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 1
SJU
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 6
UEE
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SJU
18 - 0
PEN
73%
17%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 4
UES
34%
23%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCE
6 - 0
PEN
33%
23%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |