Lusitano VRSA vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
LUS
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
JUV
65%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 4
LUS
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
5 - 0
ALM
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
FCC
66%
18%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
COV
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |