Lushnja vs KF Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DIN
0 - 1
LUS
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 0
BUR
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
POG
0 - 2
LUS
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
LUS
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
5 - 0
POG
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
KF Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ILI
1 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
KAM
1 - 0
ILI
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
VLZ
2 - 1
ILI
76%
15%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 1
NAF
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ILI
0 - 2
VLZ
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |