Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 11

Luqa St. Andrew's vs Mdina Knights analysis

Luqa St. Andrew's Mdina Knights
39 ELO 21
-5.7% Tilt -3.6%
4603º General ELO ranking 29865º
31º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
83.6%
Luqa St. Andrew's
11.1%
Draw
5.3%
Mdina Knights

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
Luqa St. Andrew's
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
Mdina Knights
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luqa St. Andrew's
+1%
-68%
Mdina Knights

Points and table prediction

Luqa St. Andrew's
Their league position
Mdina Knights
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
13º
6
16º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Senglea Athletic
53
53
100%
Mgarr United FC
50
50
100%
Zabbar St. Patrick
48
48
100%
Msida St Joseph
43
43
100%
Kalkara
36
36
100%
Luqa St. Andrew's
33
33
100%
Xghajra Tornados
32
32
100%
Gharghur
31
31
0%
Rabat Ajax
31
31
0%
Kirkop United
10º
29
29
10º
0%
St. Georges FC
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Ghaxaq
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Qormi FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Pembroke Athleta
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Mellieha
16º
16
16
16º
100%
St. Venera
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Siggiewi
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Dingli Swallows
19º
9
9
19º
100%
Mdina Knights
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Ta' Xbiex
21º
1
1
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Luqa St. Andrew's
Mdina Knights
Promotion
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Luqa St. Andrew's
Mdina Knights
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luqa St. Andrew's
Luqa St. Andrew's
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
SGC
St. Georges FC
2 - 4
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
51%
22%
27%
38 38 0 0
03 Dec. 2022
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
0 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
39%
24%
37%
37 41 4 +1
20 Nov. 2022
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
59%
21%
20%
36 40 4 +1
05 Nov. 2022
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
4 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
71%
17%
13%
36 27 9 0
30 Oct. 2022
SIG
Siggiewi
1 - 2
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
41%
24%
35%
35 33 2 +1

Matches

Mdina Knights
Mdina Knights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
MDI
Mdina Knights
0 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
13%
18%
69%
22 41 19 0
03 Dec. 2022
MDI
Mdina Knights
1 - 3
Ghaxaq
GHA
46%
22%
32%
23 25 2 -1
20 Nov. 2022
KIR
Kirkop United
2 - 1
Mdina Knights
MDI
74%
15%
11%
23 32 9 0
05 Nov. 2022
MDI
Mdina Knights
0 - 7
Msida St Joseph
MSI
19%
19%
62%
24 37 13 -1
30 Oct. 2022
SGC
St. Georges FC
4 - 0
Mdina Knights
MDI
81%
12%
7%
25 37 12 -1