Lunds vs Oskarshamns AIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
4º
15
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 5
LBK
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LBK
1 - 0
TIK
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
JON
2 - 0
LBK
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LBK
2 - 4
LIN
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FAL
3 - 0
LBK
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 1
NOR
22%
23%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 0
ANG
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TIK
3 - 0
OSK
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
1 - 0
HAL
10%
17%
72%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
OSK
0 - 1
OIF
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |