Division 1 South Round 26

Lunds vs IFK Varnamo analysis

Lunds IFK Varnamo
46 ELO 57
7.2% Tilt 10.7%
3926º General ELO ranking 1240º
43º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
19.3%
Lunds
23.4%
Draw
57.4%
IFK Varnamo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
Lunds
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.4%
Win probability
IFK Varnamo
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lunds
-15%
-21%
IFK Varnamo

ELO progression

Lunds
IFK Varnamo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lunds
Lunds
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
LIN
Linköping City
3 - 1
Lunds
LBK
55%
22%
22%
45 50 5 0
17 Oct. 2020
LBK
Lunds
3 - 0
Karlskrona
KAR
58%
21%
21%
44 39 5 +1
11 Oct. 2020
SKO
Skovde AIK
2 - 0
Lunds
LBK
60%
21%
20%
45 50 5 -1
07 Oct. 2020
TVA
Tvååker
3 - 0
Lunds
LBK
43%
24%
33%
46 47 1 -1
03 Oct. 2020
LBK
Lunds
0 - 1
Assyriska IK
AST
51%
23%
26%
47 46 1 -1

Matches

IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
IFK
IFK Varnamo
0 - 1
Oskarshamns AIK
OSK
67%
19%
14%
59 48 11 0
17 Oct. 2020
TOR
Torns
2 - 1
IFK Varnamo
IFK
25%
25%
51%
59 50 9 0
12 Oct. 2020
QVI
Qviding FIF
1 - 2
IFK Varnamo
IFK
16%
23%
61%
59 43 16 0
07 Oct. 2020
IFK
IFK Varnamo
2 - 1
Linköping City
LIN
61%
21%
18%
59 51 8 0
03 Oct. 2020
ESK
Eskilsminne
0 - 1
IFK Varnamo
IFK
18%
23%
59%
59 43 16 0