Lumwana Radiants vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MUF
2 - 0
LUR
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LUR
2 - 1
NCH
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
EAG
0 - 1
LUR
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LUR
0 - 0
NKA
33%
27%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
LUR
1 - 0
NKW
32%
28%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RED
1 - 1
KAB
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MUZ
0 - 0
RED
42%
28%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
RED
3 - 2
POW
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
RED
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
ZAN
2 - 2
RED
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |