CD Lugo vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 2
RAC
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 0
LUG
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
REC
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
XER
1 - 2
PON
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 1
XER
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
XER
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
XER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
XER
0 - 1
SAB
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |