CD Lugo vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
NOI
1 - 0
LUG
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
LUG
3 - 0
SAN
67%
22%
11%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
VDB
3 - 2
LUG
32%
24%
43%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
LUG
2 - 0
SIE
66%
23%
12%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 1
LUG
49%
29%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
SPO
4 - 2
ARO
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
NAV
4 - 2
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
TUR
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
GIM
2 - 0
SPO
84%
11%
6%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 2
PON
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |