CD Lugo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
COM
87%
11%
2%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
AVI
0 - 5
LUG
6%
17%
77%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
3 - 0
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
PON
0 - 2
RMC
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
RMC
1 - 2
MIR
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
SEG
1 - 2
RMC
17%
21%
61%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
RMC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RMC
3 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |