CD Lugo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
LUG
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
COX
1 - 2
LUG
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALB
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UBC
0 - 0
LUG
31%
27%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 2
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RMC
1 - 1
CEL
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEG
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SSR
1 - 1
RMC
15%
23%
63%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 0
RVB
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |