CD Lugo vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
MST
3 - 0
LUG
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
3 - 1
LEA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
GET
2 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
4 - 1
SSR
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
SPB
1 - 3
DEP
49%
27%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
RCF
5 - 1
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
SPB
1 - 1
CAU
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CDM
2 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
SPB
0 - 1
ROB
55%
24%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |