CD Lugo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
MLL
1 - 0
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
CEL
2 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
ASP
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ARA
0 - 3
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
AVI
2 - 3
GET
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 5
OVI
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
TAL
1 - 1
AVI
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 2
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
ROB
1 - 2
AVI
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |