CD Lugo vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
TAL
1 - 2
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 3
CDO
41%
29%
29%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
STA
2 - 1
LUG
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
MST
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
GAL
2 - 0
LUG
23%
30%
47%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ARA
2 - 0
SSR
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
UDL
3 - 0
ARA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
ARA
1 - 1
CDM
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
COL
0 - 4
ARA
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ARA
1 - 0
FUE
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |