CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
2 - 3
LUG
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 0
GIR
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
LUG
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
MLL
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
RAY
2 - 0
FUE
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 1
RAY
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
OVI
0 - 0
RAY
26%
26%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 0
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 0
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |