CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 2
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
FUE
1 - 1
LUG
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 0
PPJ
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
RSI
2 - 1
LUG
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
RAY
5 - 0
CDO
73%
19%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VEC
1 - 1
RAY
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
ULP
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
RMC
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
DEP
3 - 1
RAY
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |