CD Lugo vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
GIN
2 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LUG
2 - 1
GIM
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CAM
2 - 0
LUG
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
LUG
2 - 0
BAS
49%
29%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
GRA
3 - 1
ARO
74%
19%
8%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
SAB
2 - 0
GRA
84%
11%
6%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 2
GRA
47%
30%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 0
TUR
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 1
ENS
36%
31%
33%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |