CD Lugo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
ARO
1 - 1
LUG
29%
28%
43%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
LUG
5 - 1
COX
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
RCF
4 - 1
LUG
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
LUG
4 - 1
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
CDO
3 - 0
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
CHO
4 - 0
COX
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
CHO
0 - 3
ATO
31%
27%
42%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
ALO
0 - 0
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOU
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |