CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PON
3 - 3
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 1
CDG
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RSO
0 - 1
LUG
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 0
SES
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LEM
1 - 1
LUG
44%
28%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 1
CUL
46%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ATH
0 - 3
CEL
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |