CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
POR
0 - 2
LUG
32%
28%
41%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
LUG
2 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ALO
1 - 2
LUG
34%
28%
39%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
46%
26%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CDO
2 - 2
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
CEL
0 - 0
ARO
43%
29%
28%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ARE
0 - 1
CEL
56%
25%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
CEL
2 - 1
GON
58%
24%
18%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
EUM
3 - 2
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
POR
1 - 4
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |