CD Lugo vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
MIR
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZAR
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALM
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
CAR
79%
16%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FUE
2 - 1
CAR
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 1
CAR
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |