CD Lugo vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
CDG
1 - 1
LUG
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
SDE
2 - 2
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
49%
28%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CUL
2 - 1
LUG
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
LUG
3 - 2
ENS
54%
28%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
BAS
0 - 0
TUR
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 0
RAC
71%
20%
10%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
49%
28%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 2
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
GIM
1 - 0
BAS
60%
24%
17%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |