CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 2
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MLL
0 - 0
LUG
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
ALC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
1 - 2
ALC
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
CCF
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
ALC
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |