FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LUG
4 - 3
BEL
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 1
LUG
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
BIE
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
WIN
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 1
LUG
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 2
WIL
36%
25%
40%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 2
LOC
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 0
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
WIL
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |