FC Lugano vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
10º
3º
31
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 4
INT
5%
19%
76%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 1
ING
68%
19%
12%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
KAI
3 - 4
LUG
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LUG
10 - 0
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 31 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 2
STR
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 1
DYN
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
YVE
1 - 2
SIO
23%
22%
54%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 2
SER
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 1
NEX
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |