FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
LUG
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 0
LUG
41%
24%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
STG
0 - 2
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NEX
3 - 2
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 1
NEX
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NEX
3 - 1
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
STG
3 - 0
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 2
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |