FC Lugano vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
YOB
3 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 1995 |
LUG
3 - 2
SIO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
GCZ
0 - 4
LUG
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
NEX
1 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
SER
3 - 0
NEX
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1995 |
LAU
2 - 3
NEX
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |