FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 0
FCV
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
55%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 5
YOB
23%
24%
54%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 2
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
KRI
2 - 1
FCL
9%
17%
74%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |