FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIO
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
YOB
10%
19%
72%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FCV
3 - 0
FCL
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 5
LAU
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 2
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |