FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 2
LUG
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCV
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 2
STG
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 0
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCV
50%
23%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SIO
2 - 3
FCL
47%
24%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 3
LAU
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
YOB
4 - 1
FCL
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |