FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SIO
3 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 4
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
YOB
7 - 0
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 3
YOB
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCL
40%
25%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCL
5 - 1
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |