FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
YVE
0 - 0
LUG
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LUG
1 - 2
SIO
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CON
0 - 0
LUG
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LUG
0 - 0
WIL
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BUL
1 - 2
LUG
21%
24%
56%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FCL
0 - 1
FCV
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
FCL
0 - 1
YVE
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
FCL
44%
23%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |