FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
STG
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 May. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
KRI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
FCL
2 - 2
NEX
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
FCL
0 - 1
SEG
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
FCL
2 - 2
LAU
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
REN
1 - 2
FCL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |