FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
LAU
0 - 1
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
NEX
47%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 3
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
STG
1 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCL
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |