FC Lugano vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SER
8 - 0
LUG
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ZUR
5 - 1
LUG
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
2 - 2
STG
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NEX
2 - 0
LUG
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
FCL
2 - 1
ZUR
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
CSC
3 - 0
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |